GOVERNING CALIFORNIA
This one established me as a minor league pundit. In it I 'finger' Diebold, and long before the 2004 Presidential elections.
In 2003 the state of California experienced a political uprising. Its Governor was
recalled, and a new one chosen from a field of 135 contenders. Much of the world
snickered, but behind closed doors, politicians trembled.
This article grew from a series of essays your author wrote to distant friends. Legal
note: this column promotes no candidate or policy.
SITUATION
What prompted the recall? Mainly, the state budget deficit. California was short
by an amount greater than the entire budget of any state except New York.
Official warnings, tied to the dot com bust, were ignored. Spending far outpaced
income, population, and inflation.
Right after Governor Daviss 2002 reelection the budget was decimated. I personally
know teachers who got laid off.
Davis was widely regarded as the ultimate insider, surrounded by yes men, and only
dealing with callers who brought along a satchel of money.
The car tax was tripled, and (unlike paycheck withholding) its one that people must
pay directly.
Nasty details emerged about the power crisis and rolling blackouts. Utility rates
remained sky-high.
BEGINNINGS
A handful of states have populist recall laws. Only North Dakota had used theirs
successfully, almost a century ago.
The recall began on talk radio. Melanie Morgan of KSFO radio in San Francisco was first
to suggest it, in a conversation with Shawn Steel (along with Brian Sussman and a caller). Her passing remark was an idea whose time had come, and other radio hosts immediately got on board.
Activist lawyer Ted Costa wrote the official recall petition. Before long, three
separate groups were distributing them, mostly via the Internet. About a month into
the effort, Congressman Darrell Issa provided major funds. No political party helped,
or opposed, the recall effort until later.
Daviss support came mainly from unions and the public sector. No surprise, as the
state budget affects the amount of union dues available. His pro-rallies often closed
up right on the hour.
The petition drive succeeded, and with prompting from the courts, the Secretary of
State announced a recall election.
The California Supreme Court fielded a blizzard of lawsuits. In a single day they
denied five challenges to the recall.
Unlike Florida in 2000, the Federal courts agreed. The Ninth Circuit televised an
appeals hearing full of case references and dense legalese. Judge Kozinski kept it
real, and even got folks laughing.
CANDIDATES
The bar for candidacy was set way too low (in money and signatures). Over 400 people
declared, but as the deadline passed, only 135 qualified. The world media had a
field day interviewing oddball candidates.
Californians realized that most werent serious, personally or as contenders. We
have many third parties, so every ballot is long. The sample ballot fit all 135
names onto a single page! Five front runners quickly emerged.
Arnold Schwarzenegger got hit for admitted woman-groping. He had star power, and
appeared sincere and forthright. Hed run a successful ballot initiative in the previous
election. (His Kennedy connection helped, too.)
Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamente got nixed for proposing the same and more of it as a cure
for the states ills, and for following Davis in taking special interest millions.
He had a solid voter base, and every Hispanic endorsement. (But those Hispanic leaders
didnt have much clout.)
Arianna Huffington got clobbered for flying private jets to and from her mansion,
even while bashing millions of locals for driving SUVs. Her other positions changed
with time. She was unparalleled as a debater.
State Senator Tom McClintock wasnt well-known. He got bashed as too right wing
in his social views. He understood the state budget, and made actual proposals on
how to rein it in. He was favored by the activists who started the recall.
Peter Camejo was popular among students, and furthest to the left. He got criticized
as having no clue about economics, and claiming that the states Big Corporations
could be taxed more, with no downside. He was respected as sincere, and for caring
about the environment.
Several pundits reached the same conclusion: what California really needed
was a Lego candidate. Someone with Arnolds mass appeal, Bustamentes political heft,
Ariannas sharp wit, McClintocks business sense, and Camejos sincere concernrolled
into one.
CAMPAIGN
The campaign was short. The opinion polls rode a daily roller coaster, baffling
pollsters.
Oakland Mayor (and former Governor) Jerry Brown took Arnold seriously from the beginning.
About 40 years ago his father, Gov. Pat Brown, was unseated by Ronald Reagan. Pat
Brown had rejoiced when a mere actor became his opponent, rather than former SF
Mayor George Christopher.
At first there were two major Democratic candidates. Insurance Commissioner Garamendi
vowed to fight to the end, then quit within 48 hours. Republican Peter Ueberroth
bowed out, but McClintock resisted all such pressure.
A vigorous debate was held between the top five challengers. Huge policy differences
emerged, and contradictory claims were made. Californians knew they had a serious
choice, yet the highlight was an exchange between Arnold and Arianna, referencing
his treatment of a female movie robot.
Many of the other 130 candidates gathered outside the debate forum. All of their
support put together hardly equaled that of any one debater.
In the midst of the campaign Davis made a keynote speech. His hand-picked audience
cheered and booed with triple the passion of a rock concert. It was surreal.
Everyone had a web site. Georgy Russells was most widely reported. I disagreed with
her policies, but admired her energy and good cheer. I dubbed her a Silicon Valley
update on the Girl Next Door. While making a delivery on the Stanford campus, I
met and talked with Georgy. Her campaign button is now on display in my office.
Defending champ Gov. Davis appeared doomed throughout the race. His approval rating
was lower than Nixons after Watergate! Every candidate committed some faux pas,
but his gaffes hurt the worst. Davis ran Vote No on the Recall TV spots. Their
point seemed to be, Things could be worse. None featured his own face or voice
. . .
Many conservatives, finding even one hot button issue to disagree on, said theyd
vote for McClintock, not the moderate Arnold. Hoping Arnold won anyhow, since McClintock
could never take this liberal state.
The states progressives (ultra-leftists), from MoveOn.org and others, got pragmatic
for a change. They supported Davis and the Democrats, instead of Camejo and his Green
Party.
During the final five days there was vociferous media coverage of Arnolds misdeeds.
It backfired, as many voters were suspicious of the last minute timing. (The same
media outlets had ignored similar accusations against Davis.)
LINGERING ISSUES
Arnold won in a landslide. Jesse Jackson went home, lawsuits unfiled. Between Arnold
and McClintock, 60% voted Republican.
It took about three days for revisionist accounts to appear. For instance, did Issas
money buy the race?
No. After enough signatures were gathered, and the election declared, that effort
stopped in its tracks. If all the petitions had been certified, the total wouldve
been over 2 million. Enough to qualify without Issas paid signature gatherers.
(Issa himself dropped out.)
Arnold repealed the car tax. Did that cause budget shortfalls?
Not really. The tax was only collected for a few weeks, so our state and local governments
never saw that money in the first place. In government speak, a reduction in a planned
increase equals a cut.
There are serious national concerns.
Our new electronic voting machines are spiffy, but are they better? The maker, Diebold,
swore theyre hacker-proof, but experts didnt believe it. Their smart cards get
erased and reused many times, and no paper receipts are issued, so theres no way
to do a recount.
In the recall election that wasnt necessary, but safeguards are now going into place.
Californias legislature is ideologically polarized, and more divided than theyve
been in a century. Arnold is taking extraordinary measures to enact his programs,
and the media is doing a lousy job reporting it. (See, www.jillstewart.net/)
CONCLUSION
This was a race in which literally anyone could run. (Your author dismayed his
supporters by pledging not to.) An immigrant who has lived the American dream won
it, in a serious repudiation of politics-as-usual.
Americans can quit snickering and take heart. Grassroots activism, and new public
forums, succeeded big time. Ordinary citizens really did make a difference. You can,
too.
© 2005 by Paul Carlson